• Jean-Manuel Toussaint

Covid19 Worldwide situation as of April 15, 2020

The #mortality rate among #diagnosed+ #population is now 15.29% in #France (now includes deaths in hospitals and rest homes). This high rate is possibly due to the low number of tests available and an ICU overload in that country. #Belgium, #Italy, the #UK, The #Netherlands and #Spain come after.


Covid19 Mortality rate estimates among diagnosed+ population

The number of #cases has been slightly decreasing in #Italy, from March 22, 2020. In #Spain, #France, #Switzerland and #Germany, the decrease of cases started around April 03, 2020.


Covid19 new cases every 3 days

#Confinement measures have a positive effect on #Italy and #Spain where the number of deaths is slowly decreasing. New deaths tend to flatten in France, the UK.


Covid19 new deaths every 3 days

Whereas #Italian curve is moving downward, #Spanish line is now above the Italian one. #Belgium has now overtaken Italy, and the UK, the #Netherlands. Despite the absence of #confinement #measures #Sweden curve still has the same profile as the other #EU #countries.


Covid19 Death Rate per inhabitant

The situation in #Belgium is now very concerning and appears to be more severe as the one in #Spain. #Deaths per inhabitants in the #UK increase at the same level as in Italy. At this time, #US curve profile is still below those of #France & #Switzerland.

The gap between #SouthKorea and the other countries gets bigger and bigger. #Gettested #Wearamask.


Covid19 Death Rate per inhabitant since Deaths >2/M.inh

As per our previous articles, the number of new #deaths continue to #decrease in Italy.

New Covid19 diagnosed+ vs New deaths Every 3 days - ITALY

With a little time gap, we observe a similar situation in #Spain. The growth of #diagnosed+ cases has been speeding down since April 03, 2020.


New Covid19 diagnosed+ vs New deaths Every 3 days - SPAIN

In #France, the number of #deaths in hospital has started to decrease (read this). We anticipate the #peak of the #epidemic in the next few days.

New Covid19 diagnosed+ vs New deaths Every 3 days - FRANCE

The #UK growth is still strong in new diagnosed+ cases. With a time gap of +15 days (read this) vs Italy, the peak of deaths per day should be around April 18th, 2020.


New Covid19 diagnosed+ vs New deaths Every 3 days - The UK

#USA could be close to the peak of the #epidemic which should happen sometime next week.

New Covid19 diagnosed+ vs New deaths Every 3 days - USA

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