• Jean-Manuel Toussaint

Covid19 Worldwide situation as of April 09, 2020

The #mortality rate among #diagnosed+ #population is now 13.35% in #France (now includes deaths in hospitals and rest homes). This high rate is possibly due to the low number of tests available and an ICU overload in that country. #Italy, the #UK, The #Netherlands, #Spain, and #Belgium come after.



The number of #cases has been decreasing in #Italy, from March 22, 2020. In #Spain, #France, #Switzerland and #Germany, the decrease of cases started around April 03, 2020.



#Confinement measures have a positive effect on #Italy and #Spain where the number of deaths is now decreasing. New deaths tends to flatten in France, the UK and the Netherlands. The increase is still strong in the other countries.



Whereas #Italian curve is moving downward, #Spanish line is now above the Italian one. #France and #Belgium are now ahead of the #Netherlands. The UK overtook #Switzerland. Despite the absence of #confinement #measures #Sweden curve still has the same profile as the other #EU #countries.



The situation in #Belgium is almost similar as these in #Spain. #Deaths per inhabitants in the #UK increase at the same level as in Italy. At this time, #US curve profile is still below those of #France & #Switzerland.

The gap between #SouthKorea and the other countries gets bigger and bigger. #Gettested #Wearamask.



As per our previous articles, the number of #deaths should continue to #decrease in the coming days in Italy.


#Spain is at the peak of the #epidemic, as the growth of #diagnosed+ cases seems to speed down.



In #France, the number of #deaths in hospital should start to decrease in the coming days (read this). We anticipate the #peak of the #epidemic in the next few days.


The #UK growth is still strong in new diagnosed+ cases and new deaths. With a time gap of +15 days (read this) vs Italy, the peak of deaths per day should be around April 18th, 2020.



#USA started the increasing phase. The country could reach 40,000 total deaths by the end of next week (April 17th, 2020).





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